Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Harriet Dart vs Kayla Cross
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05e71002bb145157acf9eddd24d421b72a7a94ea0365e039c9ea0320bdc7c119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harriet Dartof Harriet Dart, Kayla Cross
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kayla Cross | 44c | 5,500$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.93 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Kayla Cross | 7c | 3,747$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Harriet Dart | 56c | 3,285$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Harriet Dart | 60c | 1,861$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.84 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Kayla Cross | 32c | 1,833$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.29 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Harriet Dart | 53c | 793.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.31 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kayla Cross | 2c | 622.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Kayla Cross | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Harriet Dart | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kayla Cross | 12c | 393.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kayla Cross | 12c | 386.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Kayla Cross | 48c | 360.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kayla Cross | 44c | 333.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Harriet Dart | 56c | 269.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Harriet Dart | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Harriet Dart | 59c | 254.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kayla Cross | 41c | 251.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…489ebacked Kayla Cross | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Kayla Cross | 24c | 227.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…7453backed Kayla Cross | 13c | 194.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Harriet Dart | 73c | 185$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kayla Cross | 25c | 123.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Kayla Cross | 45c | 100.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Harriet Dart | 55c | 100.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kayla Cross | 44c | 93.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kayla Cross | 12c | 84.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Kayla Cross | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Kayla Cross | 18c | 62.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Harriet Dart | 54c | 51.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Harriet Dart | 53c | 50.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kayla Cross | 37c | 49.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Kayla Cross | 47c | 47.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ccd6backed Harriet Dart | 56c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Harriet Dart | 52c | 41.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Harriet Dart | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Harriet Dart | 51c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…3b16backed Harriet Dart | 55c | 36.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Kayla Cross | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kayla Cross | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Harriet Dart | 60c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Harriet Dart | 58c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…7e54backed Harriet Dart | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Harriet Dart | 55c | 19.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.