TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mananchaya Sawangkaewof Emerson Jones, Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Emerson Jones28c8,552$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.6793740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Emerson Jones26c2,928$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.534,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emerson Jones19c1,958$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.018,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Emerson Jones6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew69c1,441$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.863,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Emerson Jones33c1,000$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.399,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Emerson Jones14c846.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.138,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Emerson Jones41c786.8$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5930339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew59c664.79$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5637738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew78c580.42$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3670537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew70c525.09$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.835,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew72c487.67$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.23,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Emerson Jones25c388$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710729.9%32 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Emerson Jones40c333.33$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.332,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5331…cf7cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew70c221.71$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.221,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…757abacked Emerson Jones42c221.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0228954.3%157 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew60c159.21$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.687546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Emerson Jones16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524440.2%98 W · 146 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Emerson Jones41c125.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3450845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew64c102$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.166,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Emerson Jones36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.251,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Emerson Jones40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3594447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7516467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew70c81.94$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6876355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew77c75.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Emerson Jones33c73.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3543144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a1…d1eebacked Emerson Jones27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157540%30 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Emerson Jones44c52.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9822366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew75c52.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Emerson Jones43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Emerson Jones37c49.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.473,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa397…ccd6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew58c46.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.532268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew61c42.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7612061.7%74 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew71c42.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.533165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889d…d981backed Emerson Jones33c41.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.623360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Emerson Jones40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb0…15a6backed Emerson Jones35c36.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.027012.9%9 W · 61 L-21.0wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-69.9%equal weight25-0.22 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew57c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.482,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x853f…bdf1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew60c32.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.113458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Emerson Jones46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Emerson Jones34c30.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.255941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x723c…4984backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew61c28.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Emerson Jones43c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.731,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Emerson Jones40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Emerson Jones43c24.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4540836.8%150 W · 258 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Emerson Jones46c23.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.973,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew61c20.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9630440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.591,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.