TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Michael Zheng

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arthur Geaof Arthur Gea, Michael Zheng
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,320 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27c5…6d61backed Arthur Gea17c90,930$15,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,652.356235.5%22 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michael Zheng63c33,185$20,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,950.988,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Arthur Gea48c17,145$8,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,877.6736545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Michael Zheng72c14,747$10,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,552.133,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Arthur Gea30c11,410$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,011.591,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Michael Zheng51c8,049$4,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,131.518,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Arthur Gea37c7,431$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.5214443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Michael Zheng63c6,694$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.052,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Michael Zheng70c6,146$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.654,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Arthur Gea53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82017850.6%90 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked Michael Zheng68c3,684$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.023253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Zheng64c3,288$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.438,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Arthur Gea40c3,269$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.2362956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Arthur Gea27c3,000$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,19037738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Michael Zheng61c2,847$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.222,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Michael Zheng51c2,500$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Michael Zheng71c2,449$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.161,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Arthur Gea43c2,443$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.273,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Arthur Gea50c2,228$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.1442332.4%137 W · 286 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Michael Zheng15c2,210$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.022,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a3…9b39backed Michael Zheng53c2,075$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.2211554.8%63 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Arthur Gea12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Arthur Gea39c1,708$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.699558.9%56 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Michael Zheng47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79932735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Michael Zheng77c1,461$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.034,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Michael Zheng62c1,400$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.9929146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Arthur Gea15c1,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.3319626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Arthur Gea38c1,263$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.1646030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Michael Zheng62c1,250$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7751,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b5…a041backed Arthur Gea39c1,085$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.756336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Michael Zheng47c1,074$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…6f02backed Michael Zheng66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Arthur Gea38c1,050$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.9833438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Arthur Gea15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Michael Zheng61c983.61$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Gea45c979.7$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.555,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Michael Zheng55c968.73$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.4320749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e97…6561backed Arthur Gea38c946.33$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.723452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Michael Zheng43c857.49$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.291,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Michael Zheng51c834.32$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2929149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Michael Zheng62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Michael Zheng52c754.98$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.595530.9%17 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x28c5…5ad1backed Arthur Gea15c700.2$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.171931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Zheng5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Michael Zheng59c612.36$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Arthur Gea38c512.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.957546.7%35 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Arthur Gea42c497.48$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3419845.5%90 W · 108 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Michael Zheng59c481.02$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1172147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Michael Zheng72c438.03$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6139648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Arthur Gea25c408$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30643334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Arthur Gea38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24837238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd898…a47dbacked Arthur Gea30c392.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.914630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Michael Zheng53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Michael Zheng16c375$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6064540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Arthur Gea44c349.78$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.961,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Michael Zheng67c336.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc28c…76e4backed Arthur Gea25c328.21$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Michael Zheng62c325.2$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.621,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Michael Zheng62c307.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.830648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Arthur Gea28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21648842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Michael Zheng51c270.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0933754%182 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Michael Zheng62c264.15$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.781,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Arthur Gea38c256.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9715854.4%86 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba8…f50bbacked Michael Zheng74c249.81$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.66872.1%49 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Michael Zheng53c235$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.554860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Michael Zheng64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Arthur Gea16c211.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Michael Zheng61c209.39$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7327148%130 W · 141 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Arthur Gea15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17024440.2%98 W · 146 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Michael Zheng53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10644946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Michael Zheng53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10680153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Michael Zheng72c194.85$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Michael Zheng66c187.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.551,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Michael Zheng75c181.33$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13616469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Michael Zheng62c180.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11221856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Michael Zheng59c174.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.881,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Arthur Gea29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4127943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Michael Zheng49c169.81$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.436,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Michael Zheng52c166.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.241,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Michael Zheng52c164.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.11947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Michael Zheng63c160$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.442563.3%269 W · 156 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d7…f9bbbacked Arthur Gea15c160$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1369832.7%32 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Arthur Gea32c156.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8384857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Arthur Gea76c140.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.610648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…0008backed Arthur Gea39c138.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x877f…8f3bbacked Michael Zheng63c133.62$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.184468.2%30 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Arthur Gea42c133.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1176355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eca…c19cbacked Michael Zheng53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Michael Zheng71c130.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2517147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d68…926ebacked Arthur Gea41c111.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1691…f891backed Michael Zheng65c111.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1627667%185 W · 91 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b45…ba8bbacked Michael Zheng80c110$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Michael Zheng58c107.56$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.442,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…a7e1backed Michael Zheng51c106$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+163.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Michael Zheng58c105$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.756153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Michael Zheng59c104.17$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1387741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Arthur Gea27c103.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.751942.6%221 W · 298 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Michael Zheng73c103.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7530647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Michael Zheng61c101.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7522366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Michael Zheng29c100.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.432329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.