MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4249bdebbe8ebb94c7497adda101702fec004a0fe2a4c16d1117856ada00f11c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Cincinnati Reds, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 87,614$44,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,683.09 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 49,086$24,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,887.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies | 59c | 23,085$13,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,529.93 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 17,843$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 9,368$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 5,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 5,003$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 3,381$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.64 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 1,651$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cincinnati Reds | 17c | 1,400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 1,224$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,199$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.79 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,105$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,023$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.73 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 868.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 762.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 697.14$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.96 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 665.98$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 660.76$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 593.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 548.46$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 517.76$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 498.04$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 480.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 396$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 359.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 355.58$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 321.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 7c | 280.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 267.45$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 266$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 255$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 241.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 238.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 209.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 187$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 184.61$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 184$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 176.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 150.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 146.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…5489backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 142.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 142.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 133.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 119.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 116.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cincinnati Reds | 10c | 112$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 111.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…8759backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…eba8backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 96.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Colorado Rockies | 78c | 91.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 90.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 89.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…016abacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 71.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 63.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Colorado Rockies | 76c | 62.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 58.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 56.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Colorado Rockies | 75c | 55.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 50.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 49.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 48.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ccd6backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 48.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 47.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 94 | 9.6%9 W · 85 L | -30.9wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 21-0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…e066backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…28f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 41.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 39.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…18f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 39.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 39.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…5ecabacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 39.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Colorado Rockies | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockiesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.