WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bdf7feb174ac1819605e26906106d4b81b29debab8a240321738c560c5dc08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 7,210$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.27 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 6,049$3,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.64 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 3,518$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.93 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 3,026$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.32 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,117$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.71 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings | 65c | 2,031$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.97 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,382$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.86 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,121$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 25c | 884.16$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.16 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 861.06$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.31 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 744.52$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.21 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 600.71$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.57 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 594.39$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.36 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 591.64$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.82 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 528.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 509.75$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 417.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.17 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 229.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 187.1$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 168.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 168.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 122.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 97.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 93.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 87.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 76.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 61.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Mystics | 63c | 59.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ccd6backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 39.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 35.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.