WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073d7ab078d8b9fb3c348a022232b015e1c728ad221e3f08957a7eeb4db8d2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 924.4$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.42 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 648.09$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 642.77$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.59 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 11c | 443.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over | 54c | 335$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 275.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.12 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 237.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 223.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 199.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 52c | 192.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 85.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 47c | 61.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 49c | 50.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 54c | 50.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 35.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 31.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.