WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78cfae63ce34e6f432a6ca863e862b7d8745c4996a90694c3ddf05e84a36ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 12,230$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.64 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 9,803$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 55c | 2,174$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.75 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 44c | 1,228$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 868.9$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 866.75$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.16 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 42c | 823.1$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.7 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 580.4$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 451.49$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 44c | 343.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 275.82$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 273.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 44c | 216.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 43c | 211.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 45c | 189.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 45c | 185.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 57c | 137.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Over | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 97.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 55c | 61.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 43c | 34.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 42c | 24.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 44c | 24.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.