WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd7c852c0a9f44e885573f321f0d6386e6531711348d1ccb65425b7f684d6a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 27,877$14,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,154.95 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,326.53 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 4,786$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.71 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 4,003$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.81 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 2,607$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.51 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Mystics | 45c | 1,262$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.32 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 624.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 585.75$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.31 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 365.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.61 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 183.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 110.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 82.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 56.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 48.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 46.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 41.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 38.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 30.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 27.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 21.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.