WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019c2ac81bedd4aa962e6d56f63a5187e1ca2156580fc5f9dfeabd340fcdea77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Dallas Wings, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 4,417$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.41 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 3,881$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.5 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 3,465$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.49 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,520$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.54 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 2,096$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.39 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 1,497$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.59 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…9884backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 1,352$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.97 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,038$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.57 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Dallas Wings | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 506.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 503.67$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.15 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 459.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.9 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Washington Mystics | 67c | 448.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 41c | 299.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 278.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.33 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 275.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 274.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 259$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 235.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…722bbacked Washington Mystics | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Washington Mystics | 42c | 199.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…9fb5backed Washington Mystics | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 99.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings | 44c | 92.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…421ebacked Washington Mystics | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Dallas Wings | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 50.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 35.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Dallas Wings | 42c | 30.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 29.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Washington Mystics | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 24.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 24.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 21.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.