WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8297234ac837660b9db10a539dd434e86fa22bdcb2c4bea7b179a6f8cde8d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 44,083$22,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,039.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 50c | 41,923$20,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,961.67 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2d16backed Under | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 50c | 2,328$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 50c | 1,535$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.5 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 49c | 1,069$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 3c | 1,067$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 881$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.31 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Over | 50c | 575$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 528.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.41 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 528.81$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 50c | 425$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 391.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 272.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 49c | 225.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 104.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…0552backed Under | 51c | 96.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 49.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…6660backed Under | 51c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c5b9backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 50c | 37.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 37.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.