Tennis · resolved market
Vancouver: Mai Hontama vs Himeno Sakatsume
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe25b3aca386277659b0671d484c45d7cefbd525684937f1e495ca522beea0541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Mai Hontama, Himeno Sakatsume
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 18c | 8,933$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.98 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Himeno Sakatsume | 16c | 5,168$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.97 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Himeno Sakatsume | 41c | 2,445$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.71 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 21c | 1,216$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Himeno Sakatsume | 16c | 1,005$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Himeno Sakatsume | 13c | 878.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 875$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…e21ebacked Himeno Sakatsume | 23c | 707.51$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mai Hontama | 69c | 627.18$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 17c | 451.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Himeno Sakatsume | 16c | 257.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Himeno Sakatsume | 16c | 249.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Himeno Sakatsume | 45c | 208.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…6b6abacked Himeno Sakatsume | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mai Hontama | 53c | 168.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 160$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…0b93backed Himeno Sakatsume | 18c | 158.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 8c | 154.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Mai Hontama | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Himeno Sakatsume | 17c | 141.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…04ecbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Mai Hontama | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Mai Hontama | 55c | 63.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 61.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…4b1dbacked Himeno Sakatsume | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…ccd6backed Mai Hontama | 55c | 51.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Mai Hontama | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf04…6bf7backed Himeno Sakatsume | 22c | 46.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -6.3wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…aea6backed Himeno Sakatsume | 34c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Himeno Sakatsume | 46c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.