MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0785e454a8b0d96171b924ed7e1aa158ce87892ec81a44a0387cccdf92a3a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $921,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $937,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $921,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 208,894$107,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,994.24 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 55,043$28,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,622.53 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 54,356$29,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,720.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 30,000$10,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,674.33 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 28,227$17,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,841.82 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 21,015$14,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,315.04 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 20,566$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.02 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 20,459$13,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,878.61 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 19,700$9,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,145.5 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 17,439$8,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,590.01 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 17,199$13,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.03 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 17,035$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800.14 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 16,253$11,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.59 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 16,181$8,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,576.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 15,000$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 14,031$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,824.38 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 11,959$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.15 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 11,596$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.02 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 11,191$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.99 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 10,570$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.79 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 9,874$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.71 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 8,785$4,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,568.16 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 8,000$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 7,400$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 6,207$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150.27 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 5,762$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.4 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,563$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.87 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 5,374$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.04 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,264$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.2 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 5,206$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 5,175$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.28 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…f2ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb1…95b6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 4,997$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 4,778$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.62 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 4,679$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.4 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 3,974$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.30per pick | 23cpaid | +159.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 3,366$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.57 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 3,200$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 3,109$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 3,072$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.72 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 3,042$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.59 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 2,984$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.61 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 2,904$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.96 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 2,859$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,819$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.97 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 2,618$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.57 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,535$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.83 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,405$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.65 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 2,106$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.1 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44cd…473bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 2,025$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.32 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 2,004$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.83 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,787$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.73 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,737$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 1,678$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd494…bfafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,666$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.07 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,659$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.24 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,453$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.65 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 1,353$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,296$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 1,253$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.81 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,223$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,222$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.29 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 1,221$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,215$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.39 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 1,213$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.28 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,203$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.78 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,198$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 231 | 66.7%154 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,132$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 1,108$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,100$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 1,089$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.22 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,078$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.04 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,068$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 1,066$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,047$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.32 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 22cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 982.41$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.54 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 966.97$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 955.01$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…eba8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 14c | 915.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 900.33$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.44 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 897$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 871.08$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.84 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 834$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.68 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 829$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 817.47$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.12 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…b8eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 779.15$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 752.47$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 750$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 734.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.89 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 729$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.