TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over20c11,074$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.2711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c9,077$6,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.978,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over49c7,014$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.648451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c5,352$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.3410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over32c2,970$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.811,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over45c2,611$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.143,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c1,195$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.872,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over44c1,071$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1544749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Over16c1,021$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.322133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Over16c1,021$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.322556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over45c924$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.81,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39623758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under58c766$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.114,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over46c707.24$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.172,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over43c526.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.581,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22545748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Over6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301526.7%4 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick5cpaid+411.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under66c469.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.651,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under57c404$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over37c401.65$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6123240.9%95 W · 137 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under55c400.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c391.17$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.895,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Under54c379.72$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.1697050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under40c331$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.610033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under76c300.58$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2782636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under55c281.27$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5786653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under56c276.01$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.384,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under55c266$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.682,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c224$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.356,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over41c218.14$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4967742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over46c218.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007037.1%26 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c196.44$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.784,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over7c185.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under68c184.37$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2113345.9%61 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over32c168.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.783,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over32c163.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.055,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under44c156.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over9c131.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0170737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under56c128.34$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.91,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under59c128.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.985,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x770f…ac44backed Under41c126.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.812540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under42c126.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1947549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under58c123.97$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.021,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under42c121.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4354651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over36c108.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3776…e17abacked Over50c108$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Under42c107.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1416144.1%71 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under42c102.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3827646.7%129 W · 147 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…4dccbacked Under68c98.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over56c94.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9255758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c90$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over44c87.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.462,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c81.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under56c81.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0973949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under48c77.53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5347646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under78c74.79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.451,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Under41c60.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.866552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over36c60.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.965,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under57c57.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8970455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.611060.9%67 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0d…596cbacked Under49c49.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c44.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.056,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Over36c43.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6710658.5%62 W · 44 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Under61c42.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4124843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under56c41.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.472,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under58c39.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Under53c37.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5427557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6469…d7cabacked Under53c37.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0910647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under59c33.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.551,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c29.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.534,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over59c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5252638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over49c25.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6149942.9%214 W · 285 L-31.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Over54c25.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.788046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under43c25.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5447345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Under59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.255046%23 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under79c13.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.936459.4%38 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.