CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3648489dc6760f9e4cf8331d55af925213705a9f1eae503a3f1de2d1119ecbea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Vitality, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Vitality | 65c | 60,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.99 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed B8 | 35c | 55,923$19,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,350.25 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked B8 | 35c | 19,837$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,893.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Vitality | 65c | 13,251$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.91 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked B8 | 35c | 12,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.98 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Vitality | 65c | 6,200$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Vitality | 67c | 5,481$3,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.16 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed B8 | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed B8 | 35c | 4,940$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Vitality | 63c | 3,456$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.63 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked B8 | 36c | 3,126$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.64 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Vitality | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Vitality | 65c | 2,572$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.68 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Vitality | 64c | 2,550$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked B8 | 34c | 2,454$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.5 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Vitality | 65c | 2,431$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Vitality | 67c | 2,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked B8 | 36c | 1,976$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.01 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Vitality | 66c | 1,829$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.71 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed B8 | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.67 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Vitality | 66c | 1,655$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.01 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed B8 | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Vitality | 65c | 1,450$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked B8 | 36c | 1,359$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.93 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Vitality | 64c | 1,325$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.09 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed B8 | 37c | 1,256$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.31 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 64c | 999.95$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Vitality | 63c | 959.99$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.79 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Vitality | 65c | 942.84$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed B8 | 38c | 931.83$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Vitality | 63c | 929.94$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.86 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed B8 | 37c | 927.14$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality | 66c | 896.68$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.81 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked Vitality | 64c | 781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Vitality | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed B8 | 32c | 747.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Vitality | 60c | 685.8$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vitality | 65c | 586.08$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.95 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B8 | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549b…28c2backed B8 | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed B8 | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed B8 | 34c | 479$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked B8 | 52c | 469.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Vitality | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed B8 | 36c | 440$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed B8 | 35c | 434.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Vitality | 65c | 423.08$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked B8 | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Vitality | 62c | 402.09$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed B8 | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked B8 | 34c | 391.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Vitality | 65c | 385.03$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.74 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 66c | 257.58$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked B8 | 32c | 249.63$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Vitality | 65c | 230.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Vitality | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 213 | 62.4%133 W · 80 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Vitality | 66c | 203.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Vitality | 64c | 187.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 210 | 53.8%113 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed B8 | 35c | 171.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 34c | 171.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed B8 | 46c | 167$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed B8 | 76c | 158.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 36c | 157.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed B8 | 35c | 153.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Vitality | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…074bbacked Vitality | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da2…22b6backed Vitality | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 45.8%178 W · 211 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…de09backed Vitality | 64c | 153.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed B8 | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b62…9035backed Vitality | 69c | 141.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked B8 | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked B8 | 31c | 135.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…c7d7backed Vitality | 65c | 133.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Vitality | 65c | 128.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Vitality | 65c | 128.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed B8 | 34c | 120.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Vitality | 64c | 117.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Vitality | 65c | 116.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Vitality | 65c | 115.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed B8 | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked B8 | 35c | 109.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Vitality | 65c | 109.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c47…2e55backed B8 | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed B8 | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked B8 | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed B8 | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed B8 | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Vitality | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked Vitality | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…4e56backed Vitality | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed B8 | 28c | 99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…b49fbacked Vitality | 61c | 91.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed B8 | 35c | 88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed B8 | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…3e90backed B8 | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…fbccbacked B8 | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked B8 | 31c | 83.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5)B8 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5)B8 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.