TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd337…4e56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Valorant: Team Envy vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.66
Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)backed Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.69
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Valorant: Fire Flux Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.6
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.04
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.44
Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$47.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.36
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.02
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ENJOY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.64
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.