Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6f0d33043901c796365fbf74f5a8265a2423fcc6fefdb9fe681148b9a06df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, KRÜ Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed MIBR | 46c | 876.34$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.94 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed KRÜ Esports | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed KRÜ Esports | 54c | 540.56$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked MIBR | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed MIBR | 47c | 293.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Esports | 56c | 211.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed MIBR | 44c | 172.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 189 | 40.7%77 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked KRÜ Esports | 53c | 124.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed MIBR | 47c | 91.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked KRÜ Esports | 57c | 62.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed MIBR | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed MIBR | 44c | 54.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed MIBR | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KRÜ Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…4e56backed KRÜ Esports | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked MIBR | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 171 | 39.8%68 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed MIBR | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked KRÜ Esports | 37c | 42.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MIBR | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed KRÜ Esports | 58c | 21.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed MIBR | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)this page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InMIBR won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.