Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b0770051beb11d3696542c26d9a7e710665b46eb99ba43088052a68e6463a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof KRÜ Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9279…4748backed KRÜ Esports | 61c | 7,906$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.42 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 39c | 7,806$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.36 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR | 75c | 3,482$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.18 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KRÜ Esports | 40c | 3,042$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.95 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed MIBR | 71c | 1,800$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.39 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked KRÜ Esports | 33c | 1,579$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.47 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…2bfbbacked KRÜ Esports | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked KRÜ Esports | 33c | 1,250$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed KRÜ Esports | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked KRÜ Esports | 57c | 1,042$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.73 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…116abacked MIBR | 58c | 986.38$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 907.41$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.32 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed MIBR | 66c | 767.33$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR | 69c | 733.9$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed KRÜ Esports | 47c | 713.59$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 66c | 676.81$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR | 67c | 663.23$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…3f38backed MIBR | 52c | 588.52$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked MIBR | 49c | 432$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked KRÜ Esports | 43c | 419.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.86 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR | 58c | 402.18$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked MIBR | 41c | 390$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…e45fbacked MIBR | 62c | 315.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…bcacbacked MIBR | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed MIBR | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR | 67c | 299.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 276.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed MIBR | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed MIBR | 44c | 269.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MIBR | 65c | 268.7$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MIBR | 72c | 265.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 261.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR | 70c | 245.38$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked MIBR | 60c | 205.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed MIBR | 44c | 176.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked MIBR | 60c | 165.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MIBR | 55c | 160.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed KRÜ Esports | 33c | 155.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KRÜ Esports | 14c | 148.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked KRÜ Esports | 37c | 139.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked MIBR | 40c | 133.18$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked KRÜ Esports | 66c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MIBR | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked MIBR | 55c | 119.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed MIBR | 46c | 108.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked MIBR | 53c | 96.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked MIBR | 60c | 95.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked KRÜ Esports | 48c | 93.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed KRÜ Esports | 20c | 87.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…7f26backed KRÜ Esports | 23c | 87.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked KRÜ Esports | 33c | 78.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KRÜ Esports | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked MIBR | 48c | 75.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked MIBR | 58c | 71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed KRÜ Esports | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed KRÜ Esports | 24c | 66.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MIBR | 62c | 62.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked KRÜ Esports | 67c | 58.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 59c | 57.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…1c06backed MIBR | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MIBR | 52c | 52.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked MIBR | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KRÜ Esports | 51c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MIBR | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…8fecbacked KRÜ Esports | 39c | 38.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed MIBR | 44c | 38.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed MIBR | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed KRÜ Esports | 49c | 33.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KRÜ Esports | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed KRÜ Esports | 45c | 26.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed MIBR | 61c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…5df6backed MIBR | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed MIBR | 65c | 19.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…6254backed MIBR | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed MIBR | 58c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked MIBR | 75c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)MIBR won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InMIBR won
- Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.