TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof GIANTX, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$395,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f47…d0a3backed GIANTX1c32,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp80c25,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed GIANTX24c19,381$4,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,728.2138235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Karmine Corp77c16,391$12,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.9313061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed GIANTX23c16,253$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.671,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Karmine Corp75c13,808$10,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x509b…8a55backed GIANTX23c12,091$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.252347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Karmine Corp75c11,974$9,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.832657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked GIANTX9c11,110$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.584112.2%5 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked GIANTX24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.8629443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp79c10,000$7,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.4391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed GIANTX6c9,864$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2412326%32 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked Karmine Corp77c8,366$6,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.595855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Karmine Corp76c7,517$5,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.9819150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked GIANTX25c7,464$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.984553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Karmine Corp76c6,789$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.2614761.2%90 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked GIANTX24c6,244$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013530.4%41 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4e…7aefbacked GIANTX25c6,176$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5442650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked GIANTX25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked GIANTX0c5,332$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked GIANTX11c5,145$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56630554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed GIANTX25c4,874$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.2481143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed GIANTX11c4,521$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2112128.9%35 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp78c4,444$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.681,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed GIANTX3c4,092$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2114831.1%46 W · 102 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Karmine Corp76c4,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95012160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d66…ff1dbacked GIANTX22c3,951$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.21225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Karmine Corp78c3,911$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2370162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked GIANTX20c3,871$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.1917444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX23c3,673$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.952,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked GIANTX4c3,481$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.966559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp76c3,333$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9251044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked GIANTX3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9045937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp77c2,589$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.721,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp79c2,396$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.811,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cef…1deebacked GIANTX2c2,205$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.170%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked GIANTX24c2,140$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.617439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2364…18f2backed Karmine Corp75c2,132$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5339068.9%62 W · 28 L+13.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed GIANTX20c2,117$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.41,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed GIANTX11c2,000$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.81,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed GIANTX22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed GIANTX23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…5667backed GIANTX23c1,985$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.558334.9%29 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed GIANTX21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Karmine Corp75c1,867$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6745366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed GIANTX23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40060354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked GIANTX1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecab…f7ecbacked GIANTX1c1,679$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0317712.4%22 W · 155 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp76c1,600$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37789050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed GIANTX23c1,593$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1647838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked GIANTX23c1,565$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.199139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Karmine Corp76c1,561$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6760855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX21c1,532$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.031,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Karmine Corp77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked GIANTX16c1,500$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23467115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed GIANTX20c1,481$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.251,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp79c1,441$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.612,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed GIANTX8c1,400$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.571,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked GIANTX21c1,380$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4148844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX23c1,320$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29975630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.757957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked GIANTX20c1,251$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.220146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked GIANTX11c1,245$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9720946.4%97 W · 112 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Karmine Corp76c1,230$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29026765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1f…d6d5backed Karmine Corp77c1,215$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4b…a0c7backed Karmine Corp76c1,200$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked GIANTX23c1,188$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2412132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GIANTX24c1,154$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.41,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked GIANTX20c1,027$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.631,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed GIANTX1c1,021$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048438%184 W · 300 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed GIANTX20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24062451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked GIANTX22c952.56$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5642540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked GIANTX2c947.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1639940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f80…ce62backed GIANTX12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp78c800.05$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.52,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked GIANTX25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3bc…46f8backed Karmine Corp76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4727340.7%111 W · 162 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Karmine Corp77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2215752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Karmine Corp77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2223454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed GIANTX22c759.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.296452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Karmine Corp80c759.38$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.889056.7%51 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Karmine Corp80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed GIANTX22c741.95$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2347533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db2…f8b3backed GIANTX14c676.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed GIANTX9c665.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9440726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed GIANTX15c650.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.481,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Karmine Corp78c634.36$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.563461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed GIANTX19c611.8$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8724436.9%90 W · 154 L-18.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked GIANTX24c602.38$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5715446.8%72 W · 82 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1382,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed GIANTX20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010128.7%29 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Karmine Corp79c600$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12696149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee1…3e22backed GIANTX22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325330.2%16 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GIANTX5c584.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed GIANTX18c583.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7419748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GIANTX21c561$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.812,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.