Lol · resolved market
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb0b2580e3f7ad9b141b60ae8a757f98a8d959d91092f435fa4440c0f0a9ef5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof GIANTX, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a86…4998backed GIANTX | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 184 | 29.9%55 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed GIANTX | 6c | 19,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.94 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked GIANTX | 16c | 16,098$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.67 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GIANTX | 11c | 10,000$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.82 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked GIANTX | 17c | 8,231$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.05 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed GIANTX | 16c | 6,857$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.48 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed GIANTX | 5c | 5,518$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed GIANTX | 1c | 4,077$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 123 | 26%32 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked GIANTX | 16c | 2,464$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.39 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed GIANTX | 17c | 2,174$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.41 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed GIANTX | 16c | 1,752$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.29 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked GIANTX | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX | 8c | 1,627$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX | 11c | 1,512$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked GIANTX | 14c | 1,500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…0d70backed GIANTX | 7c | 1,457$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked GIANTX | 5c | 1,453$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…4079backed GIANTX | 15c | 1,369$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.31 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed GIANTX | 16c | 1,332$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked GIANTX | 15c | 1,288$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked GIANTX | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed GIANTX | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed GIANTX | 6c | 1,175$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked GIANTX | 4c | 745.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d86…ad9bbacked GIANTX | 17c | 673.29$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed GIANTX | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 38%128 W · 209 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed GIANTX | 17c | 544.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed GIANTX | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b81…b5a2backed GIANTX | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked GIANTX | 6c | 478.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed GIANTX | 7c | 468.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed GIANTX | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed GIANTX | 16c | 330$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…192ebacked GIANTX | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed GIANTX | 17c | 288.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 217 | 35%76 W · 141 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GIANTX | 10c | 274.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed GIANTX | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked GIANTX | 17c | 237.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed GIANTX | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked GIANTX | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed GIANTX | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 355 | 16.3%58 W · 297 L | -25.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked GIANTX | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked GIANTX | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed GIANTX | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed GIANTX | 15c | 177.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked GIANTX | 16c | 171.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed GIANTX | 11c | 133.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed GIANTX | 17c | 127.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX | 16c | 126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked GIANTX | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 40.8%104 W · 151 L | -26.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43c6…6dc9backed GIANTX | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked GIANTX | 17c | 90.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…ebb0backed GIANTX | 16c | 71.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX | 16c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…ca80backed GIANTX | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed GIANTX | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.