TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof GIANTX, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$420,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$494,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp78c25,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Karmine Corp77c21,197$16,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875.3913061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f47…d0a3backed GIANTX0c21,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105923.3%3 W · 89 L+0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp79c20,338$16,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,235.421,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Karmine Corp77c20,172$15,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,642.8812160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed GIANTX24c20,000$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,839.7391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked GIANTX22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9957246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed GIANTX19c17,531$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.7648149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0259…769ebacked GIANTX23c16,557$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,808425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Karmine Corp77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked GIANTX22c15,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9929443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked GIANTX10c14,000$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.994112.2%5 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Karmine Corp77c12,333$9,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.5837245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked Karmine Corp78c10,128$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.215855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked GIANTX22c8,284$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.284553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Karmine Corp78c7,469$5,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.1314761.2%90 W · 57 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…5667backed GIANTX23c7,305$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.148334.9%29 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3a…5ad0backed GIANTX14c7,122$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.384639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed GIANTX23c7,086$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.7813842.8%59 W · 79 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked GIANTX23c5,729$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.719139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GIANTX25c5,649$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.061,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1001,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed GIANTX22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Karmine Corp78c4,872$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.7957957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed GIANTX23c4,770$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.3947838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed GIANTX23c4,240$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.2281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed GIANTX9c4,056$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.512128.9%35 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed GIANTX17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed GIANTX7c3,951$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.912326%32 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x509b…8a55backed GIANTX23c3,899$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.812347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX17c3,684$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed GIANTX23c3,478$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026349%129 W · 134 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed GIANTX23c3,249$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.361,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe39…92abbacked Karmine Corp78c3,241$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked GIANTX18c2,887$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.975630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked GIANTX0c2,777$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.882261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked GIANTX22c2,750$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.9917439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp77c2,589$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.751,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp79c2,585$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.211,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed GIANTX22c2,470$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.439162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed GIANTX22c2,228$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1647533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed GIANTX22c2,158$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8634340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked GIANTX23c2,063$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3848844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Karmine Corp78c2,056$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.325253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe430…d29fbacked Karmine Corp78c2,008$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed GIANTX22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406529.2%19 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed GIANTX21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.991,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Karmine Corp78c1,976$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.760855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GIANTX1c1,934$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked GIANTX23c1,791$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41290537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked GIANTX1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Karmine Corp80c1,625$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32513557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4e…7aefbacked GIANTX23c1,602$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.532650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Karmine Corp78c1,581$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8270162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…6193backed GIANTX11c1,560$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.221350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed GIANTX22c1,517$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.7485836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked GIANTX23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34532145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Karmine Corp78c1,484$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.485455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed GIANTX15c1,442$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2536034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01b6…9fc8backed Karmine Corp77c1,441$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed GIANTX23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Karmine Corp77c1,300$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29326765.9%176 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp78c1,278$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.1637948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Karmine Corp78c1,220$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.43560%21 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked GIANTX2c1,175$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051348.3%248 W · 265 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed GIANTX10c1,150$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked GIANTX22c1,111$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.421,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…a0c7backed Karmine Corp78c1,100$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2422365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed GIANTX10c1,075$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4864247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp77c1,073$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.91,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked GIANTX7c1,058$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0745937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp75c1,050$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2562451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked GIANTX23c1,045$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3523152.4%121 W · 110 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Karmine Corp77c1,042$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8482161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed GIANTX22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GIANTX22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed GIANTX12c999.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015534.8%54 W · 101 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked GIANTX10c999.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9867115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked GIANTX25c998.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e8…f211backed Karmine Corp79c961.53$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.476162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp78c897.44$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.441,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Karmine Corp78c895.05$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9152065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd676…104cbacked GIANTX21c889.21$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7320147.3%95 W · 106 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed GIANTX23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030621.2%65 W · 241 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked GIANTX23c829.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8112132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed GIANTX21c799.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16896452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed GIANTX23c792.04$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1750845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dee…30b1backed Karmine Corp78c786.06$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9319663.3%124 W · 72 L+17.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed GIANTX22c777.76$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.1140726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Karmine Corp78c766.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.719056.7%51 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp77c759.04$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.582,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed GIANTX23c758.57$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.319748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked GIANTX25c752$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18895951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Karmine Corp77c679.99$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.47753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Karmine Corp78c648.24$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6146552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed GIANTX22c614.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.319041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked GIANTX24c605.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6415446.8%72 W · 82 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp76c600$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14389050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee1…3e22backed GIANTX22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325330.2%16 W · 37 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.