Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0b74496e22b97a4c28267302fc233f55cbb74ccf3c68537f0def155e9c59553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 34c | 43,921$14,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,933.11 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600.06 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 65c | 4,615$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.38 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 35c | 3,925$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.59 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 66c | 2,115$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.31 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 67c | 1,681$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.67 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 34c | 1,122$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.58 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 34c | 1,076$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.06 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Over | 33c | 882.35$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 34c | 640.59$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 66c | 432$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 33c | 364.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 26c | 170.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 33c | 165.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 69c | 156.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 31c | 155.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…0d30backed Over | 34c | 155$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Under | 67c | 149.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 66c | 73.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 74c | 71.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Over | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 25c | 63.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Over | 34c | 59.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 74c | 47.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…d630backed Under | 64c | 45.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8995…f7ccbacked Under | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 35c | 44.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 68c | 29.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Under | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 73c | 25.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Under | 66c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.