Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937e65121360a0c7597028c1562b757f4d99a17de234415cba5585cd0293425e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof BBL Esports, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa103…1c14backed BBL Esports | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed FUT Esports | 60c | 8,385$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,351.4 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked BBL Esports | 27c | 6,460$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 54c | 4,375$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.56 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 4,005$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.72 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 52c | 3,010$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.3 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 63c | 2,982$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.25 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BBL Esports | 50c | 2,666$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.1 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed BBL Esports | 23c | 2,370$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.26 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BBL Esports | 39c | 1,895$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.64 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,608$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.94 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FUT Esports | 79c | 1,463$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.24 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 1,400$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.3 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed FUT Esports | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked BBL Esports | 49c | 824$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FUT Esports | 50c | 778.16$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.33 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked BBL Esports | 50c | 750.43$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 734.93$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed FUT Esports | 58c | 646.3$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 436$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.64 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FUT Esports | 69c | 289.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 289.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 287.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed BBL Esports | 46c | 264.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FUT Esports | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports | 52c | 236.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked FUT Esports | 51c | 223.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BBL Esports | 49c | 182.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed FUT Esports | 54c | 178$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 166$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked BBL Esports | 46c | 157.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed BBL Esports | 46c | 125.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FUT Esports | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…5554backed FUT Esports | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed BBL Esports | 18c | 103$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BBL Esports | 44c | 102.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed FUT Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…98cdbacked BBL Esports | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…9b8fbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 95.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked FUT Esports | 67c | 91.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked BBL Esports | 29c | 90.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 83.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed BBL Esports | 33c | 77.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 70.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FUT Esports | 68c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed FUT Esports | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BBL Esports | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed BBL Esports | 38c | 57.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FUT Esports | 77c | 57.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked FUT Esports | 76c | 56.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BBL Esports | 42c | 56.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked BBL Esports | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed FUT Esports | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BBL Esports | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BBL Esports | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed FUT Esports | 51c | 43.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed FUT Esports | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BBL Esports | 33c | 41.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…0566backed FUT Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed BBL Esports | 32c | 39.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed BBL Esports | 32c | 39.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked BBL Esports | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked BBL Esports | 36c | 35.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed BBL Esports | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…1818backed BBL Esports | 32c | 31.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed FUT Esports | 65c | 30.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FUT Esports | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed BBL Esports | 50c | 30.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…10eebacked FUT Esports | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FUT Esports | 50c | 23.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed FUT Esports | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…4e56backed FUT Esports | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked BBL Esports | 50c | 20.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed FUT Esports | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed FUT Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.