CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d3522beecad7ea5e4e5584b901181e61dc1d84e9454c1fefaac522ffbced917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 549.15$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 69c | 273$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 67c | 242.85$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Under | 66c | 226.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Over | 29c | 194.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.18 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed Under | 69c | 188.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 62c | 161.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 28c | 154.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbe…f0f9backed Over | 32c | 151.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 131.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 70c | 104.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 100.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 29c | 93.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 67c | 91.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 49c | 88.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 35c | 84.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 82.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 69c | 82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked Over | 67c | 75.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 42c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Over | 32c | 71.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 47c | 70.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 63c | 69.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…d647backed Under | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 48c | 61.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Over | 26c | 56.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Under | 73c | 54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Over | 44c | 49.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Over | 60c | 44.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 32c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 31c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 31c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 46c | 43.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 54c | 40.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…21aebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Under | 71c | 31.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 35c | 28.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…e5abbacked Under | 56c | 23.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Under | 59c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Under | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)Vitality won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5)B8 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs B8 (+6.5)B8 won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.