TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd892…f028

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs Younglings (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked Younglings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$9.27
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Dbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsbacked Grêmio Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs GenOne - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$6.67
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Bbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-61.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked BOMBA Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 2 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$6.83
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked University of Mississippi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$13.64
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twinsbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$7.53
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Blackburn Rovers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$8.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$2.92
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
The Memphis Classic: Darja Vidmanova vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 180.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.26
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricketlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Czechia vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$6.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.