Dota2 · resolved market
BetBoom Team to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340d20317c5e03438c2372863c7530f1afaae82d27e8d95f8162e6e062ca1d37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 57c | 9,327$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.95 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Yes | 47c | 4,969$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked Yes | 38c | 3,314$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.81 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 51c | 3,139$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.11 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 66c | 2,515$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 55c | 1,130$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda78…73c1backed Yes | 39c | 724.31$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 550$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 59c | 357.2$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 53c | 333$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…789bbacked Yes | 40c | 254.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…c13fbacked Yes | 43c | 219.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Yes | 47c | 211.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed No | 66c | 202.66$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 57c | 176.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed No | 50c | 170.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 59c | 154.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 41c | 154.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 23c | 122.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…662fbacked Yes | 44c | 114.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked No | 58c | 111.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 37c | 110.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yes | 46c | 107.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 60c | 103$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Yes | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 42c | 54.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 45c | 47.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 44.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 53c | 43.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Yes | 46c | 43.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 51c | 37.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Yes | 45c | 23.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…8a5cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…5efabacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 57cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 69c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BetBoom Team to win 2-0?this page
- BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid: Draw (1-1)?No won
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.