Asian League · resolved market
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe77a5e4398adf2e2687ef3e0da8800233ab033bdda3e45716465d72327a51db0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 1c | 33,761$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 19,935$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,831.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 16,398$12,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,471.19 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 2c | 14,892$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.01 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 57c | 12,899$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.18 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 80c | 9,937$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.28 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 15c | 8,329$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 1c | 6,158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 63c | 5,516$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 36c | 5,000$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 4,877$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.88 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 15c | 3,194$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 17c | 2,353$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.31 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 5c | 1,854$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 1c | 1,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 13c | 1,381$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 22c | 1,318$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Under | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 1,241$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 21c | 1,131$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +106%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 53c | 1,000$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…7274backed Under | 3c | 988.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 23c | 888.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 19c | 587.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 19c | 526.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 76c | 441.87$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 76c | 441.87$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 35c | 430.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 69c | 393.1$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 68c | 387.41$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 26c | 349.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…63bbbacked Under | 53c | 348.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 28c | 345.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 76c | 342$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 77c | 310$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 266.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 14c | 233.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 26c | 211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 14c | 209.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 71c | 208.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 181.95$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Over | 79c | 178.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 76c | 176.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…eb49backed Under | 28c | 156.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 46c | 128$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 31c | 65.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 76c | 53.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 61c | 52.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Over | 54c | 49.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 71c | 35.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 76c | 34.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 53c | 33.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 76c | 25.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 76c | 24.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Over | 69c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 78c | 20.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Over | 75c | 19.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…f266backed Under | 76c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 75c | 17.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 76c | 16.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Under | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 5.5this page
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Al Riyadh Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ettifaq Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.