TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Ettifaq Saudi Clubof Al Ettifaq Saudi Club, Al Riyadh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,232 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfb…c2efbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club18c1,000$180 inWon+$8201,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club67c964.86$644 inLost-$643.725,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club63c476.19$300 inLost-$30021144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club18c299.99$53 inWon+$246.9942351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club66c231.88$153 inLost-$152.661,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club21c227.3$48 inWon+$179.5735751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club42c220$92 inWon+$127.621854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club36c194.69$70 inWon+$124.637559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club19c192$36 inWon+$156.163545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club29c174$50 inWon+$123.541844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Al Ettifaq Saudi Club21c166$35 inWon+$131.1413644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club35c128.57$45 inWon+$83.5710441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club70c118.41$83 inLost-$82.8934847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club25c105.62$27 inLost-$26.511361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club58c100$58 inLost-$5821449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club23c97.92$23 inWon+$75.3912242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club35c88.57$31 inWon+$57.575844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club63c72.73$46 inLost-$45.821,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club69c69.57$48 inLost-$487349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club68c62$42 inWon+$19.8419340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club32c56.21$18 inWon+$38.292,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club63c48.98$31 inLost-$30.861450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Al Riyadh Saudi Club35c38.8$14 inLost-$13.5544152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club72c31.07$22 inLost-$22.4431960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club40c25$10 inWon+$15683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+82.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Riyadh Saudi Club58c18$10 inLost-$10.4417340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.