TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,749
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,749 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over61c3,724$2,286 inWon+$1,438.419340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under78c2,057$1,607 inLost-$1,607.313666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under30c1,505$453 inLost-$453.311731.6%37 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under37c1,031$381 inLost-$381.4789245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over75c755.56$567 inWon+$188.942,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over65c603.91$393 inWon+$211.371553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c585.21$237 inLost-$2375,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over62c500$310 inWon+$190.1539655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Under44c378.77$166 inLost-$166.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under39c365.07$144 inLost-$143.522,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over73c200$146 inWon+$541675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c200$77 inLost-$7721449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c181.51$136 inWon+$45.3833452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c177.55$100 inWon+$77.282,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c150$90 inWon+$6016350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over43c137.75$59 inWon+$78.849653.1%51 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over26c106.95$27 inWon+$79.641,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under13c104.88$13 inLost-$13.4692835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c86$37 inWon+$49.025149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under33c83.33$27 inLost-$27.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over69c78.34$54 inWon+$24.113743.8%60 W · 77 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under40c63.61$25 inLost-$25.1319354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over58c60.34$35 inWon+$25.341291.7%11 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick47cpaid+101.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c38.2$17 inWon+$20.9477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over73c34.71$25 inWon+$9.5111764.1%75 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c30.62$21 inWon+$10.121652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under38c28.95$11 inLost-$1125742%108 W · 149 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under40c28.67$11 inLost-$11.3418161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under40c27.02$11 inLost-$10.9425155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.