TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,163 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under18c23,751$4,348 inLost-$4,348.3212139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under21c1,924$402 inLost-$401.7311631%36 W · 80 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ca1…58acbacked Over55c909.08$500 inWon+$409.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under9c509$46 inLost-$46.171,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over68c451.6$309 inWon+$142.672,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under40c350$140 inLost-$1403857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over58c261.81$152 inWon+$109.331,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under50c248.92$126 inLost-$125.5320238.6%78 W · 124 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under42c227$95 inLost-$95.341,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c165.6$75 inLost-$74.529552.6%50 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over51c155.29$80 inWon+$75.539655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under45c132.89$60 inLost-$59.89146.2%42 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under45c103.24$46 inLost-$46.465149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c100$50 inLost-$5021449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over80c51.73$41 inWon+$10.3637153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under43c50.05$22 inLost-$21.521643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Under40c40$16 inLost-$163240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over79c37$29 inWon+$7.884847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over46c27.99$13 inWon+$15.212346.3%57 W · 66 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over75c26.66$20 inWon+$6.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c20$10 inLost-$1017340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.