MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3166f02e28b4424ca1916b7477fe43b5edfb171b8060b359eab4b46e6e5786d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 32c | 5,466$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.01 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NC Dinos | 51c | 3,312$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.01 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 2,379$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.03 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NC Dinos | 53c | 2,122$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.43 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…c372backed NC Dinos | 33c | 1,707$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 1,477$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.59 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 1,134$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 864$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 811$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.16 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Doosan Bears | 27c | 787$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed NC Dinos | 73c | 687.17$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.96 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 515$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.21 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 452.56$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed NC Dinos | 54c | 430$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.69 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 54c | 341.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 310.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed NC Dinos | 42c | 310.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.38 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 304.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed NC Dinos | 52c | 289.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed NC Dinos | 51c | 229$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked NC Dinos | 47c | 222.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NC Dinos | 48c | 197.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed NC Dinos | 37c | 185.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 68c | 137.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Doosan Bears | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed NC Dinos | 34c | 110.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 109.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed NC Dinos | 51c | 108.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 77c | 97.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed NC Dinos | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 80.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…c4c9backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed NC Dinos | 52c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 64.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 59.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Doosan Bears | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 52c | 56.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Doosan Bears | 69c | 56.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 27c | 49.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 42.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…ce6cbacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked NC Dinos | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed NC Dinos | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 168 | 61.9%104 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 39.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed NC Dinos | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 800 | 52%416 W · 384 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed NC Dinos | 50c | 35.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed NC Dinos | 53c | 30.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 27.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 27.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed NC Dinos | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed NC Dinos | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Doosan Bears | 69c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed NC Dinos | 50c | 21.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.