Cricket · resolved market
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Czechia vs Israel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x528f6a881059d42b64fca80f4b34ca94936d13e14bff8bc5b8a28826d1a82c1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Czechia, Israel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Israel | 48c | 861.63$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9220…c73fbacked Israel | 62c | 731.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Israel | 15c | 656.11$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.11 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Israel | 17c | 605.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.22 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Czechia | 77c | 577.17$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Czechia | 48c | 457.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Israel | 12c | 435.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Czechia | 42c | 350.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Israel | 19c | 236.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.16 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Czechia | 80c | 231$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.81 | 219 | 36.5%80 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceb0…9fdbbacked Czechia | 33c | 200.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Czechia | 33c | 164.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Israel | 17c | 163.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Israel | 79c | 152.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Czechia | 49c | 146.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Israel | 14c | 137$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Israel | 16c | 136.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Israel | 14c | 120$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Israel | 12c | 103.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Czechia | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Israel | 14c | 84.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Czechia | 27c | 74.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Czechia | 30c | 63.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Czechia | 26c | 61.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | -24.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…1eedbacked Israel | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Czechia | 77c | 55.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Israel | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Czechia | 55c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Czechia | 25c | 43.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Israel | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Czechia | 72c | 30.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Israel | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Israel | 62c | 17.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.