Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b9487a3b574659cecc41fe1d23047ea2f81dfdbe2313d0e2529c3d022b890a

Rebuilt 49 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,784 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd97d…6bf4backed Under	41c	3,471$1,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,041.27	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	2,821$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.06	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over	59c	2,183$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,287.93	104	63.5%66 W · 38 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf18…3ca8backed Over	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0477…80f2backed Under	41c	2,000$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+22%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	38c	1,954$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.63	2,473	33.9%839 W · 1,634 L	-95.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under	79c	1,896$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.19	67	64.2%43 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	27c	1,821$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.37	1,604	38.9%624 W · 980 L	-17.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	59c	1,626$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.59	1,039	50%520 W · 519 L	+26.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	60c	1,187$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.2	270	39.3%106 W · 164 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	51c	980.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.37	501	54.7%274 W · 227 L	+20.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	40c	798.71$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.23	661	50.5%334 W · 327 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	40c	534.95$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.97	694	48.8%339 W · 355 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	59c	512$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.08	275	45.8%126 W · 149 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	60c	507.93$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.76	1,114	35.8%399 W · 715 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	51c	507.88$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.85	2,990	42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L	+9.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	30c	475.79$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.74	2,167	37.6%815 W · 1,352 L	+5.7wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	60c	416$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	179	41.9%75 W · 104 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under	41c	389.36$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.72	101	57.4%58 W · 43 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xced1…280ebacked Over	43c	350$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.5	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	49cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under	41c	300$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+7.8wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over	60c	294.2$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.52	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	59c	262.97$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.15	655	49.8%326 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under	62c	240.93$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.34	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over	60c	213$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.8	182	52.7%96 W · 86 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over	30c	168.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.23	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	-9.1wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x63a3…0d0cbacked Under	41c	159.82$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.89	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	33c	151.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.73	702	39.3%276 W · 426 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over	58c	149.75$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.56	324	36.4%118 W · 206 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	39c	129.92$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.25	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under	43c	109.52$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.02	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	123	36.6%45 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	56c	98.21$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.38	638	57.2%365 W · 273 L	+35.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	60c	91.93$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.16	239	51.5%123 W · 116 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over	61c	87.98$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	48c	87.53$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.71	389	52.7%205 W · 184 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over	60c	83.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over	61c	80$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.8	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	48c	79.98$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.39	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	57c	70.32$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.24	769	41.9%322 W · 447 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe577…6d01backed Under	57c	70$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	44c	64.05$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.9	2,333	41.7%972 W · 1,361 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under	47c	63.19$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.21	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453d…2dbabacked Over	48c	62.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	62c	61.36$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	852	60.9%519 W · 333 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	62c	61.34$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	580	61.9%359 W · 221 L	+22.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	31c	56.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	108	39.8%43 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under	68c	54.51$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.41	88	69.3%61 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	50c	53.77$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	377	50.9%192 W · 185 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	60c	51.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.1	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	62c	49.42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	294	70.1%206 W · 88 L	+21.6wins	+0.07per pick	63cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	60c	49$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	135	47.4%64 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked Under	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	59c	39.09$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.06	1,573	55.7%876 W · 697 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over	58c	35.51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	381	44.1%168 W · 213 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Under	41c	29.27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.27	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+5.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under	61c	28.51$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	75	80%60 W · 15 L	+12.6wins	+0.17per pick	63cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	60c	28.33$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	266	47.4%126 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	40c	27.52$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.51	254	40.6%103 W · 151 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under	46c	26.37$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.35	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff06…c7d5backed Under	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	22	72.7%16 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd892…f028backed Over	45c	24.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ceb…4716backed Under	66c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Under	61c	21.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.44	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under	52c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ce…e2eabacked Over	57c	19.42$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under	80c	18.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	118	60.2%71 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5this page
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5Over won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Team to AdvanceBeşiktaş JK won
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event