Europa Conference League · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a148097e1df7b8395e1919819d01261133ae2d42ae7a2f012db3e65f18904eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beşiktaş JKof Beşiktaş JK, FC Hradec Králové
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked FC Hradec Králové | 5c | 3,129$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked FC Hradec Králové | 4c | 2,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Hradec Králové | 4c | 920$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Hradec Králové | 4c | 726.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed FC Hradec Králové | 4c | 524.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked FC Hradec Králové | 5c | 388.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed FC Hradec Králové | 5c | 384.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed FC Hradec Králové | 5c | 296.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…7137backed FC Hradec Králové | 49c | 50.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Team to Advancethis page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: FC Hradec Králové O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: FC Hradec Králové O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)FC Hradec Králové won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)FC Hradec Králové won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.