TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,750
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,750 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over11c617.57$69 inLost-$68.832,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over6c445.81$26 inLost-$26.459923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over26c433.35$113 inLost-$112.861,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under73c418.67$306 inWon+$113.141154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over37c415$154 inLost-$153.5527039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under64c313.06$200 inWon+$113.063070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over37c275.99$102 inLost-$102.1218732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over36c203.01$73 inLost-$73.3865549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over38c170.5$65 inLost-$64.798840.9%36 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under62c158.65$98 inWon+$60.2310463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Over38c155.76$59 inLost-$59.193164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under63c152.13$95 inWon+$56.951,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over36c119.68$43 inLost-$43.0996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under63c119.05$75 inWon+$44.056647%31 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under63c100$63 inWon+$371258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c75.18$29 inLost-$28.571,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over37c68$25 inLost-$25.1621840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x087b…5f0ebacked Under75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Under69c41$28 inWon+$12.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+164.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under63c39.68$25 inWon+$14.681258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under63c36$23 inWon+$13.3213547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over36c30.58$11 inLost-$11.0125440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under63c30.06$19 inWon+$11.122,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under63c24$15 inWon+$8.9838952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5df…b489backed Under64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.