TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FC Hradec Královéof Beşiktaş JK, FC Hradec Králové
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,343 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Beşiktaş JK22c4,121$919 inLost-$919.351,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a4…8260backed Beşiktaş JK28c1,279$358 inLost-$358.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Beşiktaş JK29c456.49$132 inLost-$132.3827545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Hradec Králové71c343.4$244 inWon+$99.192,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Beşiktaş JK15c248.16$36 inLost-$36.232,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed FC Hradec Králové70c200$140 inWon+$6012358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Beşiktaş JK29c149.89$44 inLost-$43.9818732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked FC Hradec Králové75c114.38$86 inWon+$28.5853564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed FC Hradec Králové71c72$51 inWon+$20.881,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Beşiktaş JK30c58$17 inLost-$17.427039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Beşiktaş JK28c55$15 inLost-$15.41,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked FC Hradec Králové76c52.03$40 inWon+$12.468869.3%61 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Beşiktaş JK29c37.96$11 inLost-$11.0125440.6%103 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked FC Hradec Králové70c34$24 inWon+$10.238952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked FC Hradec Králové74c33.78$25 inWon+$8.786858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed FC Hradec Králové76c27.38$21 inWon+$6.671190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed FC Hradec Králové77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.974751.1%24 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed FC Hradec Králové76c21$16 inWon+$5.1113467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed FC Hradec Králové70c20$14 inWon+$62560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed FC Hradec Králové80c18.77$15 inWon+$3.7511860.2%71 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked FC Hradec Králové77c17.9$14 inWon+$4.24544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.