TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c3,008$714 inWon+$2,293.393,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c2,207$1,372 inLost-$1,372.441,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb98…b473backed Over80c2,000$1,600 inLost-$1,6001070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over80c1,424$1,139 inLost-$1,139.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under45c1,276$573 inWon+$703.162,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c1,181$202 inLost-$201.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under18c1,000$175 inWon+$8251,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under17c1,000$170 inWon+$83096947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Over55c858.33$472 inLost-$472.083043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over54c783.49$423 inLost-$423.083534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under38c783$298 inWon+$485.462045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over4c728$29 inLost-$29.1237446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c435.07$78 inWon+$357.162,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under17c427.32$73 inWon+$354.3138144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under18c397.1$71 inWon+$325.6266150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over8c360$29 inLost-$28.7478344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over9c350$32 inLost-$3279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under17c289$49 inWon+$239.8715352.9%81 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under25c281.7$69 inWon+$212.436761.2%41 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under17c276$48 inWon+$227.718732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under17c264.12$45 inWon+$219.2232436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over13c163$21 inLost-$21.193050%15 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under20c126$25 inWon+$100.853564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked Under43c119$51 inWon+$68.022646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under18c104.08$19 inWon+$85.3565549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under23c99.75$23 inWon+$76.3485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed Over47c96.1$45 inLost-$45.069923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under24c91.57$22 inWon+$69.8658061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over66c88.49$59 inLost-$58.6370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c85$27 inLost-$26.527554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over53c83.3$44 inLost-$44.3638952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…91cbbacked Over33c33$11 inLost-$10.744544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3538…1035backed Over66c30.3$20 inLost-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…ef3abacked Over62c30$19 inLost-$18.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over79c12.76$10 inLost-$10.082,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.