TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Hradec Králové: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under69c1,525$1,051 inLost-$1,051.2514637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c861.4$404 inLost-$404.152,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c779.78$242 inWon+$538.053,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under11c654.54$72 inLost-$722927.6%8 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+305.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c500.64$156 inWon+$344.582,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over50c400$200 inWon+$200757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over55c350$193 inWon+$157.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under26c212$55 inLost-$55.1218732.1%60 W · 127 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Over77c184.42$142 inWon+$42.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c149.38$34 inLost-$34.362,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over74c126$93 inWon+$32.7621840.4%88 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over74c126$93 inWon+$32.7688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over62c93$57 inWon+$35.7735944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a4…4751backed Over47c85.11$40 inWon+$45.111154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Over77c77.88$60 inWon+$17.913164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under23c74$17 inLost-$17.021,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c71.88$17 inLost-$16.5396947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under29c58.95$17 inLost-$17.2497346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Over36c49.99$18 inWon+$321060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under26c40$10 inLost-$10.42560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.9620660.2%124 W · 82 L-15.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c30$15 inWon+$152433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over76c21.12$16 inWon+$5.0710463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over62c18$11 inWon+$6.8427554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.