TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$875,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$888,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $875,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes54c553,318$299,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,802.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No44c350,548$154,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,307.0618958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c95,889$60,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,007.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c52,527$23,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,054.714,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No39c45,119$17,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,681.0518453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x291d…1f97backed Yes63c35,758$22,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,529.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes64c31,117$19,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,809.8417049.4%84 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No44c17,857$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No36c14,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9603100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No32c13,594$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,183.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No42c11,324$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,592.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No73c9,415$6,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.71,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No67c8,128$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.531,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Yes64c6,555$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No43c6,348$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.5350450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No37c5,705$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49c…1cd5backed Yes65c5,699$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No36c5,556$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes9c5,301$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.1416537%61 W · 104 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No21c5,032$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+377.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c4,182$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.041,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb267…5f55backed No36c4,170$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,668.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes18c3,901$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No36c3,767$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.062,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No36c3,685$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.743070%21 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes2c3,422$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.977353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed No77c3,371$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes65c3,079$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.5115757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No35c3,057$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked No36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…dd03backed Yes4c2,729$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No43c2,628$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.9559847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046b…340dbacked Yes65c2,487$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.4810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x601f…242bbacked Yes65c2,339$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.48850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes27c2,110$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.522339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes63c2,046$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.756241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c1,965$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.9596645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No59c1,827$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.379358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No59c1,783$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.49660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes63c1,735$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.921225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No50c1,598$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.4329643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No36c1,597$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.8760445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c1,560$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.3591435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes63c1,429$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed No40c1,269$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No37c1,224$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7766544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Yes7c1,103$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.162035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No44c1,069$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No49c1,032$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.9514253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes63c1,010$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.89141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes13c976.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1477342.8%331 W · 442 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes60c950.81$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.23253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No40c934.51$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No51c916.58$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No63c872.04$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.8128456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No43c822.23$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.263852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Yes62c820$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes62c801.92$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1412441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked Yes65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50060%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No45c666.66$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed No59c640.44$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.632454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes42c635.67$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3859332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Yes3c628.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No37c554.78$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.841752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No36c535.81$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.955561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No37c505$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.151,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c505$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.151,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes31c499.97$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.995932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Yes61c495.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No36c484.69$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.224544.5%109 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes64c480$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.25444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No36c470.62$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.981053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No35c465.36$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.4433751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c447.83$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1737…2b2fbacked Yes79c440.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed No56c429.84$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Yes57c421.05$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes65c407.12$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.632924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-50.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes30c394.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.526137.7%23 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No37c390.11$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.412445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes56c354.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9819441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes8c350$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No75c337.03$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9122057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No35c328.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3113348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes63c326$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.423855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7121648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes64c256.87$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed No65c233.86$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No36c228$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9613132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.