Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77b1025b020bdeaee087f2fa7892e638229513fe8570bd25772732f783c6ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 3c | 6,526$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 32c | 5,390$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.49 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,968$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…e1d3backed Under | 72c | 1,591$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…88e7backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 44c | 972.55$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 48c | 393.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 388.18$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 376.55$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Over | 56c | 359.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 353.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 43c | 259$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 213$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…115cbacked Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 47c | 116.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 52c | 96.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 13c | 82.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ba…b677backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 53.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 49.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 71c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 51c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 26.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Over | 49c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 58c | 22.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.