Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf42065e1b958e5875446c5106832c239e1f6cb62e9627324e11c193cfafd7708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 60c | 2,700$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 2,646$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.76 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 524.45$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.69 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 40c | 399.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…2b65backed Yes | 62c | 367.84$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 347.42$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 274.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 55c | 123.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 60c | 117.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 76c | 92.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 74.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 39c | 67.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 38c | 54.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 39c | 53.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 42c | 53.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 61c | 40.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 28.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 58c | 24.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 45c | 23.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…7d74backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed No | 51c | 19.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.