Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f22715ffb7f6a89780d8ffbd07596bcab10c91f859f5f4128a8ebb4ae36a7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 3,838$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.57 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 3,198$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 2,357$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.97 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.09 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,191$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.25 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 76c | 766.72$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 693.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 21c | 658.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.15 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 21c | 522.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.39 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 78c | 460$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 428.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 23c | 393.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 385.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 51c | 280.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 51c | 260.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 51c | 197.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 24c | 196.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 53c | 184.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 23c | 164.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 120.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 107$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 47c | 105.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 28c | 86.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Under | 24c | 72.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 80c | 54.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 41c | 49.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 47.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 64c | 47.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 23c | 46.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Over | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…e5abbacked Over | 53c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 79c | 24.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 24.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 55c | 18.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 0.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 4.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 5.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 1.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: VfL Bochum O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5)VfL Bochum won
- Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)Eintracht Braunschweig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.