TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Braunschweig vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under73c3,323$2,427 inWon+$895.7943532.2%140 W · 295 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over26c2,034$538 inLost-$538.3228345.2%128 W · 155 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c1,259$297 inLost-$296.762,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under67c499.97$335 inWon+$164.9914364.3%92 W · 51 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over25c494.99$125 inLost-$124.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over33c373$123 inLost-$123.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+91.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under66c329.82$218 inWon+$112.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c320.76$85 inLost-$84.563,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over34c301.7$103 inLost-$102.5881732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under70c242.12$169 inWon+$73.192860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Over22c204$45 inLost-$44.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Over46c200$92 inLost-$92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under64c138.89$89 inWon+$5069851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c117$41 inLost-$40.9511447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under60c110$66 inWon+$4424050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Under64c101.56$65 inWon+$36.564740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under65c58.03$38 inWon+$20.311942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under65c50$33 inWon+$17.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7eb…da58backed Under79c42.91$34 inWon+$9.193100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under67c35.31$24 inWon+$11.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under65c30.76$20 inWon+$10.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under66c29.24$19 inWon+$9.942871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+70.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.