Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf69eff341cba1f0c1961ed51afdf826f86026b52070996015fd87e426b46f7fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Faisaly Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Faisaly Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 45c | 29,034$13,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,065.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.91 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.97 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 3,638$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.1 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 51c | 1,843$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 53c | 1,761$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.1 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 46c | 1,662$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.42 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 53c | 1,653$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.17 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 47c | 1,443$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.52 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 51c | 406.86$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.36 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 21c | 393.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 47c | 239.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 56c | 219.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 41c | 167$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 31c | 131.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 54c | 128$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…27bfbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 47c | 127.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 114.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 46c | 102.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 56c | 73.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 53c | 60.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 54c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 52c | 47.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 72c | 41.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 50c | 39.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 48c | 26.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 51c | 23.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Al Hilal Saudi Club | 53c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 53c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 20.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…f028backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…e5abbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…1909backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club | 56c | 19.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Al Faisaly Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.