Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9450bf67d36b470f8a9e0599f18c433691126bc677c39ebf4e0e6f66fab39c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Over | 51c | 14,231$7,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 49c | 5,945$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.81 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 4,156$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.44 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 49c | 4,025$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 48c | 2,847$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.21 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 49c | 2,797$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 51c | 2,769$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,382$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.73 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 52c | 2,143$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Under | 2c | 1,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 749.74$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 727.26$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 62c | 723.95$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 540$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 527.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 449.04$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 406.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 43c | 271.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 50c | 202.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 6c | 169$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 31c | 149.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 18c | 145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 36c | 111.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 52c | 111.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 106.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 52c | 102.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 101.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Under | 15c | 66.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 56c | 66.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 65.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 51c | 53.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 48c | 33.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 49c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 51c | 20.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Al Faisaly Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Faisaly Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.