Asian League · resolved market
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f42f75eaef85bccf71ddafdc85d3453a19b6928635b54916392a44182c56d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Under | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 7,867$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.18 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Under | 1c | 6,399$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 58c | 6,179$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 2c | 5,240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +688.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 63c | 2,145$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.79 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 1,607$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 64c | 1,515$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 43c | 1,380$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.14 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 26c | 859.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.99 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 71c | 837.93$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.93 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 69c | 767.86$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 76c | 576.66$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 28c | 500.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 28c | 492.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 78c | 454.52$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Over | 71c | 422.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 32c | 410.64$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…7f56backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 48c | 271.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 72c | 270$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.9 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 38c | 251.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1673backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 56c | 235.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 68c | 234.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 64c | 203.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 190.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 32c | 188.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 166.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 33c | 164.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 148.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 29c | 138.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 119$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 78c | 105.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 103.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 16c | 88.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 15c | 88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 76c | 85.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 32c | 71.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…1422backed Over | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 47cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Over | 73c | 45.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 65c | 41.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…c3f0backed Under | 36c | 40.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…eb49backed Over | 79c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 64c | 15.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 5.5this page
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Faisaly Saudi Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Al Hilal Saudi Club O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Faisaly Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hilal Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Faisaly Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.