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Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Hilal Saudi Clubof Al Hilal Saudi Club, Al Faisaly Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,410 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x633e…d305backed Al Hilal Saudi Club68c5,937$4,054 inWon+$1,882.488243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club32c1,935$613 inLost-$613.451,81850.4%917 W · 901 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club5c1,531$76 inLost-$76.426,02846.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L+50.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club30c1,160$350 inLost-$350.221,72436.5%629 W · 1,095 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club21c1,133$243 inLost-$243.092,58540%1,035 W · 1,550 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Al Hilal Saudi Club70c999.99$700 inWon+$3004163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6240…54c0backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club2c738.57$12 inLost-$11.822744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club31c480$149 inLost-$148.81,65650.8%841 W · 815 L+3.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club31c358.39$111 inLost-$111.11,14346.5%531 W · 612 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club41c225.38$92 inLost-$91.672,53538%964 W · 1,571 L+5.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club53c174.67$93 inWon+$81.9511254.5%61 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club66c159$105 inWon+$54.0616554.5%90 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club44c97.02$42 inLost-$42.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ab…ecebbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club33c90.91$30 inLost-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club32c83$27 inLost-$26.5613644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Al Faisaly Saudi Club32c80$26 inLost-$25.9224661.8%152 W · 94 L+18.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Al Hilal Saudi Club45c55.31$25 inWon+$30.311291.7%11 W · 1 L+5.4wins+0.45per pick47cpaid+101.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Hilal Saudi Club67c42$28 inWon+$13.6693746%431 W · 506 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Hilal Saudi Club69c33$23 inWon+$10.232,03654.2%1,104 W · 932 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Al Hilal Saudi Club48c31.25$15 inWon+$16.259339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Al Faisaly Saudi Club54c20$11 inLost-$10.8447353.1%251 W · 222 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.