TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,369 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over74c4,058$3,000 inWon+$1,058.044027.5%11 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c2,260$642 inLost-$642.271,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over73c1,681$1,234 inWon+$447.174163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca1…58acbacked Over68c1,481$1,007 inWon+$474.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c1,237$916 inWon+$321.751,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c1,167$270 inLost-$270.025,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under26c1,047$271 inLost-$271.491,11649.5%552 W · 564 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under28c853.06$243 inLost-$242.622,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under26c757.9$197 inLost-$197.052,45637.9%931 W · 1,525 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under26c735.73$191 inLost-$191.291,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under26c600$156 inLost-$1562751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over73c266.98$194 inWon+$73.4213644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under27c225.9$61 inLost-$60.9926136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over74c190.47$141 inWon+$49.5276239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under27c170$46 inLost-$46.4520838.9%81 W · 127 L-14.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2351…e1debacked Under28c133$37 inLost-$37.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under26c132.73$34 inLost-$34.235751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under26c122.49$32 inLost-$32.3540750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over71c83.7$59 inWon+$24.272,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under26c67.57$18 inLost-$17.5790544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over74c67.57$50 inWon+$17.576583.1%54 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under28c50.07$14 inLost-$14.021643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under26c49.01$13 inLost-$12.7437552%195 W · 180 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under27c41.24$11 inLost-$10.951,35745.5%617 W · 740 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…6a4dbacked Under28c40$11 inLost-$11.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d16…addabacked Over69c28.91$20 inWon+$9.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Over75c26.67$20 inWon+$6.67580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over76c20.26$15 inWon+$4.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over74c20$15 inWon+$5.162470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over74c14.18$10 inWon+$3.694077.5%31 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.