Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff6ba64661fcc6156719c38a179d7314796ad18c8d813fe33d0828016d919f9

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $75,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,839 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Asian League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Under	8c	11,990$964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,025.9	177	53.1%94 W · 83 L	+17.3wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	39c	11,659$4,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,156.49	1,647	36.2%596 W · 1,051 L	-34.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	56c	9,414$5,279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,279.01	2,491	40%997 W · 1,494 L	-18.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	56c	5,577$3,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,450.86	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	8c	2,940$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,718.33	193	40.9%79 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	23c	1,862$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,428.3	2,424	38%920 W · 1,504 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	71cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over	60c	1,199$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.4	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under	30c	1,011$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.05	246	54.1%133 W · 113 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under	3c	866.66$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840.66	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+106%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	44c	789.95$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.58	1,221	50.2%613 W · 608 L	+12.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	14c	692.64$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	2c	615.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.61	928	35%325 W · 603 L	-22.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…8284backed Over	72c	584.72$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Over	36c	526.67$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.6	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	30c	500.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.33	211	44.5%94 W · 117 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over	75c	500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under	5c	500$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.71	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+6.5wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+119.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	62c	498.28$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.52	2,522	42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L	+54.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over	6c	482.39$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+51%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over	36c	409.28$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over	49c	408.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over	46c	373.16$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.71	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under	16c	343.75$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.75	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	33c	227.6$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.55	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under	67c	208.96$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.96	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,028	41.7%429 W · 599 L	-31.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	71c	193.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.73	120	74.2%89 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under	47c	192.21$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.21	45	64.4%29 W · 16 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under	57c	191.83$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	206	38.8%80 W · 126 L	-14.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	36c	180.56$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	334	52.7%176 W · 158 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over	70c	178.92$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	57c	164.91$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.91	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Over	52c	151.13$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	163	50.9%83 W · 80 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	10c	129.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.72	245	48.6%119 W · 126 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	13c	125$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.75	426	25.8%110 W · 316 L	-33.7wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-40%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	112.69$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.87	5,946	46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L	+50.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	59c	104$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.98	193	54.4%105 W · 88 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over	63c	104$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.79	181	61.9%112 W · 69 L	+9.4wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	41c	102$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	257	42%108 W · 149 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	115	46.1%53 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	70c	91.67$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-11.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under	12c	83.34$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.34	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+7.1wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	+99.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Under	12c	83.34$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.34	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+8.5wins	+0.21per pick	31cpaid	+106.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over	27c	79.26$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over	31c	76.65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…cd24backed Over	58c	65$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over	59c	53.74$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	251	55.8%140 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	59c	52.37$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.09	371	53.9%200 W · 171 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+40%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Over	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Under	31c	49.87$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.41	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5397…ae53backed Over	45c	43.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.34per pick	56cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…e0a0backed Over	67c	35$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.45	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	66c	34.85$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	68c	34.51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a16…1cb2backed Over	74c	33.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf61…1e34backed Under	78c	23.75$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d9f…fbe1backed Over	59c	23.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	49cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd892…f028backed Over	50c	22.34$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over	54c	20.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	166	59.6%99 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Over	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Over	68c	16.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5this page
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event