Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117ad605deae8ee81b20c131a2965290676185ab31a02d1ea1cfa4c3a0567b08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,244$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.85 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,632$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.71 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked No | 78c | 2,429$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 54c | 800.82$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.38 | 846 | 37.4%316 W · 530 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 386.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 270.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 24c | 201.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 49c | 119.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 560 | 47%263 W · 297 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 65c | 86.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 72c | 81.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 375 | 53.6%201 W · 174 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 199 | 61.3%122 W · 77 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 36c | 71.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 68.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 937 | 46%431 W · 506 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 73c | 67.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 254 | 55.5%141 W · 113 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 68c | 61.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 49.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2,036 | 54.2%1,104 W · 932 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 45c | 44.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 42.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,066 | 41.7%445 W · 621 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 32c | 36.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 54c | 29.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 49c | 28.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed No | 68c | 21.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 21.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed No | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 70c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 66c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed No | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Qingdao Xihaian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.