TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Chongqing Tonglianglong FCof Qingdao Xihaian FC, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Qingdao Xihaian FC11c1,216$136 inLost-$136.392,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Qingdao Xihaian FC20c842.54$169 inLost-$168.643756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Qingdao Xihaian FC16c398$64 inLost-$63.681729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Qingdao Xihaian FC16c199.98$33 inLost-$3311030.9%34 W · 76 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC19c166$32 inLost-$31.5413644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Qingdao Xihaian FC20c109.98$22 inLost-$22.3253946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Qingdao Xihaian FC22c90.91$20 inLost-$205335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC80c53$42 inWon+$10.761,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC79c20$16 inWon+$4.326136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.